Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.467752 0.513628 0.562828 0.619650 0.683627 0.753615 0.836221
2025-11-23 0.389447 0.452489 0.524949 0.614944 0.724485 0.854462 1.021814
2025-11-30 0.347224 0.418965 0.505374 0.618231 0.763387 0.946075 1.197043
2025-12-07 0.311845 0.387345 0.481637 0.609757 0.781973 1.009371 1.339064
2025-12-14 0.284298 0.361761 0.461486 0.601617 0.797272 1.066690 1.476522
2025-12-21 0.257215 0.333844 0.434998 0.581174 0.791916 1.092710 1.569758
2025-12-28 0.244884 0.324257 0.431728 0.591554 0.829754 1.182779 1.768099
2026-01-04 0.233352 0.314600 0.427166 0.599018 0.863117 1.268544 1.969709
2026-01-11 0.222146 0.304396 0.420751 0.602699 0.890348 1.346687 2.168092
2026-01-18 0.211759 0.294523 0.413873 0.604712 0.914538 1.421622 2.370120
2026-01-25 0.203366 0.286912 0.409635 0.610143 0.944224 1.508080 2.604074
2026-02-01 0.191523 0.273367 0.395418 0.598408 0.943995 1.542510 2.744464
2026-02-08 0.184528 0.266892 0.391855 0.603978 0.974240 1.635122 3.014568
2026-02-15 0.175786 0.257216 0.382647 0.599455 0.986420 1.696137 3.230649
2026-02-22 0.169460 0.250901 0.378302 0.602641 1.012378 1.785467 3.520401
2026-03-01 0.161321 0.241230 0.367875 0.594426 1.016426 1.832355 3.723889
2026-03-08 0.153884 0.232283 0.358083 0.586535 1.020210 1.878816 3.933692
2026-03-15 0.144754 0.220125 0.342256 0.566713 0.999291 1.872192 4.015995
2026-03-22 0.141706 0.217807 0.342881 0.576778 1.037633 1.994102 4.435523
2026-03-29 0.138340 0.214767 0.342052 0.584015 1.070868 2.108836 4.859239
2026-04-05 0.134563 0.210829 0.339413 0.587584 1.096811 2.210342 5.268136
2026-04-12 0.130751 0.206641 0.336079 0.589535 1.119453 2.306912 5.683341
2026-04-19 0.127670 0.203556 0.334525 0.594801 1.149597 2.424799 6.186075